NewsWare‘s Trade Talk

NewsWare's Trade Talk: Tuesday, September 16

S&P futures are higher this morning as traders look ahead to tomorrow’s Fed decision, with expectations of a 25-basis-point rate cut and fresh insight from the Dot Plot outlook for 2025. Overnight, the Senate confirmed Steven Miran as Fed Governor, while a court rejected the Trump administration’s bid to oust Lisa Cook. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent unveiled a TikTok ownership framework, adding to market buzz. Today’s spotlight is on Retail Sales data ahead of the bell. On earnings, Dave & Buster’s (PLAY) posted a sharp revenue miss, while tomorrow brings results from General Mills (GIS) and Cracker Barrel (CRB).

NewsWare's Trade Talk: Monday, September 15

S&P futures are in the green this morning, signaling a positive start to the week. All eyes are on the Fed as we gear up for their latest update — the main event that could set the tone for markets. Tune in as we break down what’s moving stocks today and what to watch for in the days ahead.

NewsWare's Trade Talk: Friday, September 12

S&P Futures are trading lower this morning as markets digests yesterday's strong move. The focus is on the upcoming Fed meeting as the latest inflation and job readings firmed up rate cut expectations.
The White House filed an appeal in an attempt to block Fed Gov Cook from voting at next week's FOMC meeting. The Senate Banking Committee recently approved Stephen Miran for Govenor at the Fed, a full vote is scheduled for Monday. Tres Sec Bessent will be meeting with Chinese officials in Madrid this weekend. President Trump will be in the U.K next week. MSFT is higher as EU regulators accepts the firm's commitment to address their concerns over Teams. They also announced a deal to extend their partnership with Open AI. On the earning front, ADBE delivered a beat while RH missed. Earnings highlights for next week include PLAY, GIS, SCS, FDX, LEN, DRI, & CBRL.

NewsWare's Trade Talk: Thursday, September 11

S&P Futures are trading higher this morning ahead of the release of the Consumer Price Index. The ECB will be making its monetary policy statement at 8:15 am, no change in rates is expected. The Trump Administration is said to be consider new curbs/tariffs on Chinese pharmaceutical imports. Corporate presentations at various sell-side conferences this week indicate that most companies' quarterly results remain broadly on track. However, AA & CARR have indicated some operational weakness in their recent updates. Boeing has reached a tentative agreement with striking union members. On the earning front, KR is expected to release earnings this morning. After the bell today, earnings releases are expected form ADBE & RH.

NewsWare's Trade Talk: Wednesday, September 10

S&P Futures are positive this morning as the market awaits the release of the Produce Price Index ahead of the opening bell. President Trump will travel to the U.K next week (September 17–19) for a rare second state visit. Trump is actively urging the EU to impose 100% tariffs on China and India in an effort to curtail those countries purchases of Russian oil. He also signed an Executive Order targeting pharmaceutical advertising. The Supreme Court will hear oral arguments in early Nov on the Trumps tariffs. On the earning front ORCL delivered a strong report and is trading higher. After the bell today, earnings releases are expected form GME, SNPS & ORC

NewsWare's Trade Talk: Tuesday, September 9

S&P Futures are positive this morning as the market await the payroll revisions data, a downward revision of up to 1m is expected. The White House is said to be preparing a report that will be critical of BLS data gathering functions. Apple’s major product launch will be a key highlight today, the event kicks off at 1:00 PM ET, with new iPhones, Apple Watches, and AirPods expected to be announced. Anglo American & Teck Resources announced a merger.  The Salesforce CEO will be presenting today at the Goldman Sachs’ Communacopia & Tech event at 4:25pm. Executives from C & JPM will be presenting today at Barclays financial conference. On the earning front CASY is lower after its earnings announcement. After the bell today, earnings releases are expected form GME, SNPS & ORCL

NewsWare's Trade Talk: Monday, September 8

S&P Futures are positive this morning as the latest payrolls data is increasing the odds of a 50-basis point cut at next weeks Fed meeting. Tomorrow the BLS will be announcing its revisions to the payroll data for the period of April 2024 to March 2025. This week's inflation reports could derail a large cut. President Trump is expected to meet with EU officials this week on talks aimed at ending the Ukraine Russia war, sanctions and energy policies are likely to be discussed. On Sunday, Tres Sec Bessent said he's confident that the tariffs will be upheld by the Supreme Court.  This week’s sell-side calendar is busy, with today’s highlights including Goldman Sachs’ Communacopia & Tech event, Morgan Stanley’s healthcare conference, and the Barclays financial conference, all featuring top executives sharing sector-specific and market outlooks. On the earning front CASY is releasing after the bell today and later this week ORCL, SNPS, GME, CHWY, RH, KR & ADBE are scheduled to release.

NewsWare's Trade Talk: Friday, September 5

S&P Futures are positive this morning ahead of this morning's non-farms payrolls report. Semiconductor stocks are on watch today as the Trump Administration indicated that they will be placing tariffs on those firms that are not building their chips in the U.S. The White House is preparing to start renegotiating a major free trade deal between the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement. Boeing gets two new plane orders and is making plans to hire new workers to replace the striking workers in St. Louis. On the earning front AVGO, DOCU, IOT PATH are higher after earnings releases. The LULU report was very negative, and the stock is falling. ORCL will be releasing earnings next week.

NewsWare's Trade Talk: Thursday, September 4

S&P Futures are slightly higher this morning with economic and earnings data in focus. There are two employment reports due out this morning and the Non-Farms payrolls report is due tomorrow. President Trump will be hosting a dinner tonight that will be addended by a host of tech CEO's (MSFT, GOOG, META, ORCL, MU and others). Late yesterday, the Trump admin requested ab expedited ruling from the Supreme Court on the Trump Tariffs. President Trump is appealing Friday's tariff ruling to the Supreme Court and requesting an expedited ruling. The Senate Banking Committee is scheduled to begin hearing for the new Federal Reserve Governor nominee, Stephen Miran, today.  Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is scheduled to testify before the Senate Finance Committee at 10:00 am. On the earning front HPE & AEO are higher after earnings releases. CRM beat, but lower due to cautious guidance. After the bell today ACGO, CPRT, LULU IOT & DOCU are schedule to release.

NewsWare's Trade Talk: Wednesday, September 3

S&P Futures are showing strong gains this morning due to positive action in technology stocks. After the bell yesterday the judge in the GOOG antitrust case released his remedy opinion and said that Google will not be required to divest its Chrome browser or Android operating system. Additionally, the ruling permits Google to continue making payments to Apple, enabling Google to remain the default search engine on iOS devices. President Trump is appealing Friday's tariff ruling to the Supreme Court and requesting an expedited ruling. Later today he is expected to meet with the President of Poland. Treasury Sec Bessent will start to interview candidates for the role as Fed Chair on Friday. The yield curve is showing signs of steepening with the 10-year Treasury note yield hovering around 4.28% to 4.30%. This follows a modest increase of about 0.03 percentage points from the previous session, marking the third consecutive day of rising yields.  On the economic from today markets will be paying attention to this morning's JOLTs report and the Fed's Beige Book in the afternoon. HQY & ZS are higher after earnings beats. After the bell today CRM, FIG, HPE, GTLB and AI are schedule to release.