NewsWare‘s Trade Talk

NewsWare's Trade Talk: Tuesday, August 5

S&P Futures are higher this morning on continued opiumism of a Sept rate cut and upbeat earnings results. While official confirmation is still pending, markets are expecting an announcement to extend the U.S.-China trade and tariff truce before the Aug 12th deadline. President Trump is expected to sign an executive Order this afternoon that will impose penalties on banks for dropping customers based on political reasons. He is also expected to appear on CNBC this morning (8:00 est) and will likely comment on his pending Executive Order, and also on trade talks. Special Envoy Witkoff will be in Russia this week and is expected to meet with Russia's President Putin in an attempt to obtain a ceasefire in Ukraine. The key economic data points for today are the Trade Deficit report and the ISM Services PMI data. On the earnings front, BALL, BP, LDOS, PLTR & RAIL are higher after releasing. ADTN, CAT, HIMS & TAP are lower. After the bell today, earnings reports are expected from AMD, AMGN, ANET, & MTCH.

NewsWare's Trade Talk: Monday, August 4

S&P Futures are showing positive activity this morning as markets recover from Friday negative employment report. Federal Reserve Governor Adriana Kugler resigned unexpectedly on Friday, giving President Trump the opportunity to nominate a replacement who may influence future Fed policy decisions. This development, combined with softer labor market data, has significantly increased expectations for a rate cut next month. Congress and the Senate have begun their summer recess starting today. Special Envoy Witkoff is expected to travel to Russia on Wednesday. Markets will be focused on earnings reports and expected comments from Federal Reserve officials this week. TSLA's board approved an award of 96m shares of restricted stock to CEO Elon Musk yesterday. The key economic data point for today will be the Commerce Depts Factory Orders report for June. After the bell today, earnings reports are expected from PLTR, VRTX, WMB, SPG, HIMS & BMRN.

SPECIAL EDITION: NewsWare's AIQ Systems Markets - Navigating Volatility and Unpredictability

In this episode of NewsWare's AIQ Markets podcast, we explore the impact of recent tariff escalations on market volatility. Host Emily Advani, along with experts Bill Olsen of NewsWare and Steve Hill, CEO of AIQ Systems, dive into how these developments affect various sectors, including retail, software, and soft drinks. Learn how traders can leverage both fundamental and technical analysis to navigate these turbulent times and uncover opportunities in stocks Nike (NKE) and Salesforce (CRM) amongst others. Tune in to gain valuable insights on staying ahead in an unpredictable market landscape.

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NewsWare's Trade Talk: Friday, August 1

S&P Futures are down sharply this morning as markets react to the latest tariff news from President Trump. After markets closed yesterday, President Trump announced increased tariffs on multiple U.S. trading partners and warned that any nation supporting the "Anti-American policies of BRICS" would face an extra 10% tariff with no exceptions. He also sent letters to the CEOs of 17 major pharmaceutical companies demanding that they substantially reduce prescription drug prices in the United States within 60 days. This morning release of the monthly Non-Farms Payrolls data is being highly anticipated as it is a key data point in the Feds decision making process. On the earnings front, AAPL, BOOT, CVX, RDDT are higher after announcements. AMZN, FLR, IR ROKU are lower. On Monday morning, earnings reports are expected from BNTX, ON, TSN, L, W and TSEM.

NewsWare's Trade Talk: Thursday, July 31

S&P Futures are showing strong gains this morning after outstanding earnings from Microsoft (MSFT) and Meta (META), both of which delivered results that surpassed expectations. Outside of tech, a majority of companies have delivered mixed or disappointing results. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell came across as hawkish in his press conference yesterday and indicated that the Fed is looking past the tariff situation by not raising rates. President Trump announced a trade deal with S. Korea. An agreement with Mexico remains fluid while an agreement with Canada appears unlikely. A federal appeal court will begin hearing oral arguments today on President Trumps claim that economic emergencies allow him the right to impose tariffs. The key economic data point for today will be the PCE report due out in the pre-market. On the earnings front, MSFT, META, WDC, EBAY & CVNA are higher after announcements. RACE, ARM, LRCX, WCOM, BUD, F, & HOOD are lower. After the bell today are earnings reports from AAPL, AMZN, KLAC, COIN, NET, ROKU, and RDDT.

NewsWare's Trade Talk: Wednesday, July 30

S&P Futures are displaying gains this morning with earnings and economic data being the key themes for today. On the economic front, the first reading of U.S. Q2 GDP will be released this morning and is expected to display growth. In the afternoon, the Fed will release a monetary policy statement. Fed Chairman Powell will likely display a dovish tone in his press conference. The U.S. and China concluded their recent two-day trade talks in Stockholm without reaching a definitive agreement to extend the tariff truce currently set to expire on August 12, 2025. Both sides described the meetings as "constructive,".  The responsibility now lies with President Trump to decide whether to approve an extension of the tariff pause. PANW is said to be close to acquiring CYBR in a $20B deal. Figma (FIG) IPO is said to be 40x oversubscribed. On the earnings front, QRVO, HUM, STNG, SBUXVRT & GEHC are higher after announcements. MSFT, META, QCOM, ARM, LRCX & HOOD are all releasing earnings after the bell today.

NewsWare's Trade Talk: Tuesday, July 29

S&P Futures are displaying gains this morning as the markets key in on a host of catalyst events. Key events this morning include earnings releases, U.S. China trade talks and the start of the Federal Reserve two-day policy meeting. The U.S. China trade talk is expected to end with an extension of the 90 day pause. Other trading partners such as Canada, Mexico, South Korea and Taiwan are yet to secure agreements. The Fed appears to be shifting in a dovish direction as markets await tomorrow's announcement. The key economic datapoint for today will be the International Trade in Goods data for June. On the earnings front, weakness is on display in SWK, RCL, SPOT, UNH and CARR after announcements. V, SBUX, MDLZ, EA, QRVO are all releasing earnings after the bell today.

NewsWare's Trade Talk: Monday, July 28

S&P Futures are indicating a higher opening this morning as the markets prepare for one of the busiest weeks of years. The big news event is the announcement of a U.S. EU trade agreement over the weekend. This was widely expected, and markets are waiting for some additional clarity on the details. China and the U.S. are meeting in Sweeden today for another round of trade talks. Expectation is for another 90 days pause on tariffs. The Trump administration is expected to announce the results of a national security investigation into semiconductor imports within the next two weeks. Trade Agreements, Earnings Fed decision and a host of key economic datapoint will dominate this week's trading. On Sunday, President Trump announced deal with E.U. imposing 15% tariffs and averting trade war. Bangladesh ordered 25 Boeing planes in effort to lower tariffs. An announcement of a trade deal with India is unlikely this week as talks are scheduled for later next month. On the earnings front, PG, UNH, AZN, MRK, BA, SPOT & UPS are all releasing earnings tomorrow morning.

NewsWare's Trade Talk: Friday, July 25

S&P Futures are displaying positive action this morning. Earnings report remain a key focus today as markets prepare for a heavy dose of tech earnings next week. President Trump visited the Fed yesterday in an effort to sway the Fed to lower interest rates. Today the President is headed to Scottland for personal business-related activities. Late yesterday afternoon, the Trump administration gave approval for CVX to resume oil production in Venezuela. The FCC approved the PARA merger with Skydance. SRPT is falling on concerns related to its Duchenne muscular dystrophy treatment. Next week is one of the busiest weeks of the year for markets. Highlights include a Fed meeting, US / China trade talks, key economic data points including GDP, PCE & Employment data, earnings from META, MSFT & AAPL, and expectations of trade deal announcements. This morning's key economic data point will be the report on Durable Goods Orders. On the earnings front, BAH, BYD, DECK, EW and MHK are higher after their releases. INTC, and LEA are moving lower.

NewsWare's Trade Talk: Thursday, July 24

S&P Futures are flat to higher in the premarket. There are a host of market catalysts today including corporate earnings, a possible announcement on a U.S. EU trade deal, and an ECB announcement on monetary policy. President Trump will visit the Federal Reserve today to monitor its renovation progress. Lawmakers subpoena JPM & BAC over Chinese battery IPO, and they are asking the DoD for data that MSFT shared with Chinese engineers. Next week Tres Sec Bessent is to meet with Chinese officials for another round of trade talks. This morning's key economic data point will be the report on New Home Sales. On the earnings front, GOOG, NOW, TMUS & URI are higher after their releases. CMG, DOW HON, IBM & TSLA are lower. After the bell today, earnings releases are expected from BYD, DECK, EW, MHK and INTC.