NewsWare‘s Trade Talk

NewsWare's Trade Talk: Monday, April 28

S&P Futures are weakening this morning as the market heads into a key trading week. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent defended the Trump administrations tariff plan over the weekend and said that he expects a "de-escalation" with China in the short term, followed by an agreement in principle before an actual trade deal is worked out in the coming months. He is schedule to give an interview this morning at 8:00 am with CNBC. Fed officials have entered into a blackout period ahead of the upcoming Fed Meeting next week. The week ahead has a host of key economic reports due out including GDP, PCE, & Non-Farm Payrolls. Earnings Seasons is here with reports due out this week from HON, PFE, KO, V, SBUX, MSFT, META QCOM, AMGN, AAPL & AMZN.

NewsWare's Trade Talk: Friday, April 25

S&P Futures are weakening this morning after multiple days of strong gains. Earnings and Trade Talks are the key themes for the day. Google released a strong earnings report yesterday; their operating income was a key highlight. Both the U.S. and China appear to be ready to start to de-escalate the trade tensions which is a key step that needs to happen in order for talks to begin. The U.S. will be announcing trade deals with South Korea, India and possibly Japan. The deals will be more political theater than a true agreement. On the economic front today is the final consumer sentiment reading for April from the Universite of Michigan. Earnings Seasons picks up next week with reports due out from HON, PFE, KO, V, SBUX, MSFT, META QCOM, AMGN, AAPL & AMZN. Q1 tech earnings have been coming in better than expected.

NewsWare's Trade Talk: Thursday, April 24

S&P Futures have reversed course and are now trading flat to higher this morning. Global trade talks and earnings announcements are in focus today. Inconsistent messaging from the White House remains a key source of volatility for the markets. On Wednesday, Treasury Secretary Bessent outlined hopes for a "big deal" with China, yet Chinese officials have said that no trade takes are underway. China's Politburo meeting is scheduled for late this month. On the economic front, report on Jobless Claims, Durable Goods and Existing Home Sales are set for release today. Earnings reports have been coming in better than initial expectations, forward guidance remains a concern. After the bell today, GOOG, TMUS, GILD, & INTC are scheduled to report.

NewsWare's Trade Talk: Wednesday, April 23

S&P Futures are displaying a strong move higher this morning. President Trump indicated that he has no plans to remove Fed Chair Jerome Powell from his position. He also indicated that his 145% tariffs on China will come down substantially. There are reports that Trump will meet with Chinese President XI in early May. Comments from Treasury Secretary Bessent were also bullish as he indicated his belief that a trade deal with China can be reached. Trade deals with India and Japan are said to be close. However, these agreements are expected to be broad in scope and light on details. President Trump is expected to sign Executive Orders today on reducing the cost of prescription drugs and also on government efficiency and regulatory reform. This morning the flash PMI data is set to be released before the markets open and the Fed's Beigh Book in the afternoon. TSLA is trading higher this morning after negative earnings release, profits fell by 71%. Musk indicated that he will be cutting back his work at the White House to spend more time on TSLA. EU regulators have fined AAPL & Meta for violations of its Digital Markets Act. After the bell today, IBM, NOW, TSN, CMG & DFS are scheduled to report.

NewsWare's Trade Talk: Tuesday, April 22

S&P Futures are trading higher this morning and today session will focus on earnings. GE, DHR & ELV are all higher after their earring's releases. After the bell today, markets will hear from TSLA, SAP, CB, PKG & ISRG. A host of Fed officials are schedule to speak today, they are likely to continue to point out the need for the Fed to be independent of political pressure. Reports indicate that the U.S. has made significant process on the trade deal with India. The Trump administration intends to press India to give online retailers such as Amazon and Walmart full access to its $125B ecommerce market. Equifax (EFX) announced a $3B share buyback program this morning.

NewsWare's Trade Talk: Monday, April 21

S&P Futures are trading lower this morning however the liquidity is rather low as most exchanges across the globe remine closed for the Easter holiday. Tariff and trade talks remain the key factor for the markets. Discussions on tariffs with South Korea and India are scheduled for this week. President Trump continues to press Fed Chair Powell to lower interest rates which Powell is reluctant to due ahead of a possible increase in inflation this summer. The Justice dept antitrust trial continue today. NFLX is higher this morning after announcing positive earnings results on Thursday. China is warning countries not to make trade deals with the U.S. Huawei Technologies plans to start mass shipments of its AI chip to Chinese customers which is negative for NVDA. The week ahead is a big week for earnings announcements, reports from MMM, MCO, LMT KMB, RTX, VZ, SAP & TSLA are scheduled for tomorrow.

NewsWare's Trade Talk: Thursday, April 17

S&P Futures are displaying gains after yesterday's heavy selling pressure. Markets are reacting to President Trumps positive indication at the conclusion of the trade talks with Japan. Later today President Trump is scheduled to meet with the PM of Italy. Central banks news remains in focus with the ECB expected to announce a 25-basis point rate cut at 8:15am. Fed Chair Powell was hawkish in his comments yesterday and said that the Trump tariffs may create a "challenging scenario" for policymakers." TSM is trading higher after its earnings & guidance release. The CEO said that they are not in joint venture talks with INTC. UNH is falling after an EPS miss and lower guidance. This morning on the economic calendar is the weekly jobs report and housing data (housing starts & building permits). After the bell today, NFLX is scheduled to release earnings.

NewsWare's Trade Talk: Wednesday, April 16

S&P Futures are in the red this morning as sentiment is weakening. After the close yesterday NVDA announced that they will be subject to export restriction for its H20 chip which is sold to China. China generated $17B or 13% of NVDA total sales last year. China has indicated that it is open to trade talks with the U.S. White House trade officials are said to be asking countries to limit trade activities with China in return for tariff relief. This is being done to isolate China to achieve a better trade deal. Chinese economic data was strong overnight, as business activity ramped up ahead of tariffs. The tariff damage will likely start to show in next month economic data. Market will be hearing from Fed Chair Jerome Powell this afternoon. He is expected to reiterate the strength of the U.S. economy and acknowledge uncertainty ahead due to the Trump Tariffs. On the economic calendar today is the Retail Sale report. This afternoon, LVS, CSX, KMI and AA are schedule to report earnings. On Thursday morning, TSM, UNH AXP & DHI will be reporting.

NewsWare's Trade Talk: Tuesday, April 15

S&P Futures are moving higher mainly due to optimism on tariff exemptions. The Trump tariff narrative remain the key focus as the White House indicates that that it is looking to help the auto sector. Pharma & semiconductor stocks are on watch as they are under review by the Trump tariff team. China has suspended jet deliveries from Boeing in retaliatory move. U.S. trade officials met with EU's trade representative yesterday, the demands from the Trump administration will be difficult for the Eurozone to agree to. Mining stocks are displaying gains due to a report that indicates President Trump has plans to stockpile critical metals to counter China. On the economic calendar today are reports on Import Exports prices and the Empire state Manufactuing index. JNJ, BACPNC & ERIC are higher after earnings announcements. Caterpillar named a new CEO.

NewsWare's Trade Talk: Monday, April 14

S&P Futures are displaying strong gains this morning due to tariff exemptions on consumer electronics. The Trump administration temporary tariff exemptions on tech products are providing some short-term relief for the sector however they remain subject to the 20% fentanyl tariffs. The Trump administration is expected to provide additional clarity later today. The dollar remains weak ahead of the ECB meeting later this week where a rate cut is expected. President Trump is scheduled to meet with the president of El Salvador today. The U.S. is scheduled to hold trade talks with the EU and Japan this week. The economic calendar is rather light this morning, later this morning there is a report due out on Consumer Inflation Expectations. Markets are awaiting this morning's earnings reports from Golman Sachs.